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Risk Assessment and Analysis
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
The increasing frequency of wildfires has posed significant challenges to communities worldwide. The effectiveness of all aspects of disaster management depends on a credible estimation of the prevailing risk.
Avoided wildfire impact modeling with counterfactual probabilistic analysis
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
Assessing the effectiveness and measuring the performance of fuel treatments and other wildfire risk mitigation efforts are challenging endeavors. Perhaps the most complicated is quantifying avoided impacts. In this study, we show how probabilistic counterfactual analysis can help with performance evaluation.
Low-intensity fires mitigate the risk of high-intensity wildfires in California’s forests
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
The increasing frequency of severe wildfires demands a shift in landscape management to mitigate their consequences. The role of managed, low-intensity fire as a driver of beneficial fuel treatment in fire-adapted ecosystems has drawn interest in both scientific and policy venues.
Community Forests advance local wildfire governance and proactive management in British Columbia, Canada
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
As wildfires are increasingly causing negative impacts to communities and their livelihoods, many communities are demanding more proactive and locally driven approaches to address wildfire risk. This marks a shift away from centralized governance models where decision-making is concentrated in government agencies that prioritize reactive wildfire suppression.
The Big Lie: discursive risk analysis and wildland firefighter safety in the Western United States
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
While increased length and intensity of wildfire seasons in many places have led to more concern about wildland firefighter safety, we believe ethnography has been underutilized as a method within this domain. In response, we begin building a shared idiom for ethnographic engagement with wildland firefighter safety and similar occupations.
Social vulnerability of the people exposed to wildfires in U.S. West Coast states
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
Understanding of the vulnerability of populations exposed to wildfires is limited. We used an index from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to assess the social vulnerability of populations exposed to wildfire from 2000–2021 in California, Oregon, and Washington, which accounted for 90% of exposures in the western United States.
Exploring and Testing Wildfire Risk Decision-Making in the Face of Deep Uncertainty
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
We integrated a mechanistic wildfire simulation system with an agent-based landscape change model to investigate the feedbacks among climate change, population growth, development, landowner decision-making, vegetative succession, and wildfire.
Identifying opportunity hot spots for reducing the risk of wildfire-caused carbon loss in western US conifer forests
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
The escalating climate and wildfire crises have generated worldwide interest in using proactive forest management (e.g. forest thinning, prescribed fire, cultural burning) to mitigate the risk of wildfire-caused carbon loss in forests.
Wildland–Urban Interface: Definition and Physical Fire Risk Mitigation Measures, a Systematic Review
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
Due to the associated fire risk, the wildland–urban interface (WUI) has drawn the attention of researchers and managers from a range of backgrounds. From a land management point of view, it is important to identify the WUI to determine areas to prioritise for fire risk prevention.
Building water resilience in the face of cascading wildfire risks
Year of Publication
2023
Publication Type
Severe wildfire is altering the natural and the built environment and posing risks to environmental and societal health and well-being, including cascading impacts to water systems and built water infrastructure. Research on wildfire-resilient water systems is growing but not keeping pace with the scale and severity of wildfire impacts, despite their intensifying threat.
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